![]() The four scenarios studied were getting ready for a date, holiday shopping, formatting a computer document and preparing food.Ī study published in 2012 in the journal Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes found that prompting people to mentally picture a task from the perspective of an outside observer caused them to make more realistic predictions about how long the tasks might take, said Dr. Kruger and a co-researcher found that when “unpacking” a task-or breaking it down into detailed steps-individuals provided more accurate estimates of how long something would take to get done. In a 2004 study in the Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, Dr. Another is breaking down a task into very detailed steps. One involves predicting how long it will take to get something done based on past experiences. Researchers have tested several strategies that have been found to help people slow to finish their work. His studies have found the same issues for matters as small as mailing a letter and as critical as income taxes. Roger Buehler, a psychology professor at Wilfrid Laurier University in Waterloo, Ontario, estimates that people on average underestimate task-completion time by as much as 40%. It can be anything from poor planning to a serious medical problem. Researches have studied the problem from all angles to get to why this happens. This kind of behavior can slow down workplace efficiency and drive longtime friends to distraction while they wait for a late arrival. “There are all sorts of disincentives and punishments for being late, and the paradox is we’re late even when those punishments and consequences exist.” “This is a judgment that you’d think that people would be motivated to get right,” said Justin Kruger, a social psychologist and professor in the marketing department at NYU’s Stern School of Business. The planning fallacy is one of the most difficult behavioral patterns to change, experts say. That’s a little-known concept called the planning fallacy, which is a strong tendency to chronically underestimate task completion. One main explanation for their behavior is deceptively simple, psychologists say: People simply underestimate how long a task will take. What researchers have learned about tardiness and how you can arrive on time moreĬhronically late people can be frustrating and baffling to anyone stuck waiting for them. ![]()
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